After a stretch of lower to mid 80s for 5 days in a row, we'll get one more today, but the weather pattern will begin to change as we say goodbye to abundant sunshine, gusty wind, and very warm temperatures, and spring showers and thunderstorms take over. It could turn out to be a pretty wet week as the MWN forecast carries some chance of rain and/or thunderstorms every day through next Monday!
Tonight, a frontal system will finally wedge its way into the high pressure that has dominated the region the past several days. We'll be close enough this afternoon to see a low chance of t'storms, a few of which could be strong. The wind will continue to blow as well with gusts of 25-30 mph today. Tonight, that front moves just to our north and stalls out, so look for much higher rain chances, with thunder possible, overnight and into Tuesday and Wednesday. The clouds and precipitation will hold temps down in the 70s Tuesday and Wednesday, though overnight lows will continue to be mild.
The front pulls back to the north Thursday as a warm front, but a chance of thunderstorms still exists. Computer models diverge heading into the weekend as the front moves back towards the area. The most likely scenario at this time seems to be the front moving slowly through Friday and Saturday (more rain). Models also hint at precip Sunday and Monday. Fortunately, there are no signs of very cool air approaching, so temperatures should remain springlike throughout.
There you have it - rain chances every day! We certainly won't be inundated with rain every day in the Memphis area, but I also am not confident enough to keep rain OUT of the forecast any of these days. Hopefully the latter part of the week becomes clearer in the next 48 hours or so. Keep the umbrella handy this week and stay with MemphisWeather.net for the latest on the changing weather conditions!