Supercell thunderstorms, many producing tornadoes and some of which could be long-track, are lining up over western and central AR at the time of this writing (8:15pm). The graphics above show the upgraded risk area as of 8:00pm tonight. Much of AR has been raised to a High Risk of severe weather with long-track significant tornadoes a distinct threat. A Tornado Watch is in effect until 2am Saturday for these areas.
Surrounding the High Risk, including extreme eastern AR up to the Mississippi River (including West Memphis and counties bordering the river), a Moderate Risk of severe weather has been posted as supercells are likely to track into eastern Arkansas later tonight with the possibility of tornadoes.
A large portion of west Tennessee and all of northwest Mississippi, including the TN/MS portions of the metro region, are included in a Slight Risk for severe weather as storms could bring large hail, damaging wind gusts, and the possibility of a tornado overnight. Graphics showing the outlook areas, as well as the probabilities of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind, are shown above.
Stay with MemphisWeather.net for the latest on this developing weather scenario. Our newest addition - the MWN Storm Center - has the latest severe weather outlooks, county-by-county warning information, and updated radar for the Mid-South and maintains the latest information 24x7.