Severe weather is still expected later today across the Mid-South. I refer you to yesterday's blog post for the nitty-gritty... very little has actually changed from then. The biggest change is that all of west TN and northeast AR is now in a HIGH RISK for severe weather, as issued by the Storm Prediction Center. All of north MS is in a MODERATE RISK. (see map below)
Briefly: Scattered storms will fire in AR and MO by early afternoon and begin moving towards the Mississippi River. I expect these storms to begin affecting the metro area (Shelby County and all counties that border Shelby) after 4pm. Any of these storms will be capable of producing large hail, high wind, and tornadoes, some of which could be violent and long-track. The strongest weather is expected between roughly 6pm-10pm, during which time some areas will see multiple storms or rounds of storms. A semi-solid squall line will likely move through the metro between 9-11pm, bringing an end to the strongest storms.
Please make preparations now for the possibility of severe weather. A previous blog post on severe weather preparations will help. HEED ALL WARNINGS as they are issued. It's possible that "siren-weariness" will set in if multiple tornado warnings are issued. Take cover if the warning affects your area.
We will provide continuous coverage throughout the event. We ask for your patience, especially if you are monitoring our social media channels, during the event. We are not able to answer everyone's questions individually during severe weather.
MemphisWeather.net provides many resources to keep you safe during storms. Download the MWN App for iPhone or Android (search "Memphis weather" in the App Store or Market), sign up to receive severe weather alerts via e-mail, and follow @shelbyalerts and @memphisweather1 on Twitter and MemphisWeather.net on Facebook. On MemphisWeather.net, the MWN Storm Center has the latest watches and warnings, as well as severe weather safety tips. StormView Radar is interactive and will show you warnings and hail and storm rotation signatures detected by the radar. Finally, the MWN Forecast will help you plan ahead for possible severe weather as well.
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