Once the increased clouds and very isolated sprinkles move out this evening, conditions will return to the rule of the past several days through Tuesday night with partly cloudy skies and temperatures a bit above the early October average, in the lower 60s for lows and lower 80s for highs. Meanwhile, a cold front will be moving out of the Central Plains and towards the Mid-South on Wednesday, bringing the chances for rain. At this time, it appears an area of scattered showers, and possibly some thunderstorms as well, will move through the region Wednesday afternoon into the evening, just ahead of the front. While not all areas may end up seeing rainfall, it will certainly be the best chances since the cold front of September 25. An isolated stronger storm cannot be ruled out, but atmospheric conditions do not appear to be lining up for organized severe storms or particularly heavy rainfall amounts.
|NWS Total Precipitation for Wednesday evening, showing light rainfall amounts (up to 1/4”) possible across the region in association with a passing cold front|
--Kevin Terry, MemphisWeather.net
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