UPDATE 2 (2:30pm): The Slight Risk area has been expanded and now includes the Memphis metro area (see map below). The main threat is large hail through about 8pm. For more info, click here.
|Updated slight risk issued at 2pm by the Storm Prediction Center.|
UPDATE (10:30am): A Slight Risk area has been added for Arkansas, roughly south of I-40. The threat for hailstorms is higher in that area. The risk has not increased significantly in the metro. For more info, click here.
As of 8am, the Memphis metro is under what meteorologists often refer to as a "SEE TEXT" area for this afternoon with regards to thunderstorm development. What the heck does that mean? And what text am I supposed to see, and what does it say?? First of all, check out the first graphic below from the Storm Prediction Center. These are the folks that issue the Slight/Moderate/High risk areas for severe thunderstorm potential. See the words "SEE TEXT" over the Mid-South in the graphic? This means that SPC believes there is a small risk for some type of strong storms, but not enough to post a Slight Risk. The accompanying graphics show where that risk lies and what the threats are. The "text" being referred to is the technical discussion from SPC, which can be found on their website at http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/ - click on the outlook that includes the "See Text" area.
|The SPC "See Text" area includes the Mid-South for Wednesday afternoon|
|Hail outlook for today - 5% chance of severe hail|
|Wind outlook for today - 5% chance of severe wind|
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