Its technically not even spring yet, but the Mid-South has transitioned into a weather pattern more reminiscent of early summer over the last week, with very warm - even record breaking – temperatures and scattered afternoon “pop-up” thunderstorms. As we begin a new week, the near-record temperatures look to stay a bit longer, but a new system to the west will be bringing our next significant rain chance as well as a break in the streak of early-summer weather.
Near to record breaking temperatures look to continue at least Monday and Tuesday, as strong high pressure at the surface and aloft remains in control, which will help keep conditions dry as well. Highs will reach the low to mid 80s, a solid 15 to 20 degrees above normal. Meanwhile, a strong upper level low pressure area developing across the Southern Plains states will meander in much of the same area most of the week. As the interaction between the high and low pressure areas increases on Tuesday, windy conditions will develop over the region, with gusts to 40 mph possible.
|Upper-level low position from the GFS model Wednesday evening|
|GFS model depiction of rain/thunderstorms moving into the area overnight Thursday|
Stay with MemphisWeather.Net throughout the week for up-to-date information on the rain and thunderstorms arriving later in the week, as well as the upcoming record warm temperatures.
--Kevin Terry, MemphisWeather.Net
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