The first round of showers and storms is expected this evening after 7pm and lasting a few hours, perhaps until midnight or so. (All "future radar" graphics below are from MODEL OUTPUT and are NOT a forecast, but provide a general idea of what might occur.)
|HRRR modeled radar at 8pm indicating an area of storms near the MS River.|
|NAM modeled radar at 8pm CDT also indicating an area of storms along the river.|
|NAM modeled radar at 3am Monday indicating the first line of storms falling apart over northeast MS and another line over the metro.|
|NAM modeled radar at 3pm Monday indicating scattered showers and some thunderstorms re-developing over the area as the front moves through.|
As for tomorrow, storms could again get strong to severe ahead of the front in the afternoon. The metro could see a few strong storms, but we expect most of the severe weather to be to our east where the atmosphere will be more potent as the front moves through later in the afternoon.
|Most severe weather should be just east of the metro on Monday, though a few strong storms are possible as the front moves through in the afternoon.|
|Projected rainfall totals through Tuesday. Widespread 2" totals are likely in the metro.|
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