|Severe weather outlook and probabilities of various threats within 25 miles of a point for Monday and Monday night. Click image for larger version.|
The National Weather Service in Memphis has issued the following synopsis regarding the risk for severe weather in the Mid-South today and tonight.
There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms today and tonight across the entire Mid South.
A stationary front is stretched across north Mississippi this morning with widespread showers and thunderstorms. These storms will pose a threat for flash flooding through mid morning. These storms should diminish later this morning which should allow the front to lift back north as a warm front. By mid afternoon, an upper level disturbance will approach from the west. New showers and thunderstorms should redevelop over the Mid South and may initially focus along the northward moving warm front. An ongoing line of storms to our west will also continue to move east through the day. As the atmosphere becomes unstable along and south of the warm front, storms that form will have the potential to become severe. Any severe storms that form later today could produce damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. The greatest tornado threat will likely be near the warm front or with any supercell thunderstorms that form south of the warm front. These storms ahead of the approaching line from the west will move quickly northeast from mid afternoon through the evening. The line of storms should move east across the area later this evening and overnight with a continued threat for mainly damaging winds and large hail. In addition, a flash flood threat continues for the morning hours over portions of north Mississippi and across the entire region this afternoon through tonight.Check in with us on social media throughout the day for the latest on the potential severe weather threat and be sure StormWatch+ is activated in the MemphisWeather.net mobile app for immediate push notification of any watches or warnings issued.
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