The Storm Prediction Center outlook from 11:30 AM has the entire metro in an Enhanced Risk zone (3 out of 5). The expected threats from this evening's severe weather are mainly straight-line wind above 60 mph (a 30% chance of this occurring within 25 miles of you) and large hail (a 15% chance), though an isolated tornado is also possible (5% chance within 25 miles). Lets shift toward the most likely timing of the event.
|HRRR model simulated radar valid at 10pm, showing the main storms over the metro. Graphic courtesy WxBell.|
Enjoy the afternoon, but be prepared for scattered showers and thunderstorms by early evening, with the arrival of the main line of storms between 8-11 PM. For those of you headed to the first Grizzles playoff game, be prepared for severe weather to be coming in right around the end of the game and remain weather aware as you depart.
As always, make sure you have multiple sources for warning information and plan accordingly. While this is not expected to be a significant severe weather outbreak, it only takes one severe storm for you to be impacted. We recommend StormWatch+ within the MemphisWeather.net app as one means of receiving precise warnings for your specific location and stay tuned to our social media channels for the latest throughout the day.
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